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USF researchers reveal key findings from national voter opinion survey on the economy and political stress

By Althea Johnson, University Communications and Marketing

Researchers at the 51在线 have released findings from a nationwide survey that measures attitudes related to several key election issues. The survey, sponsored by Cyber 51在线 at USF, addresses how Americans feel about topics including the economy, election fairness and political-related stress. 

Among the results:

American voters express significant support for several of Vice President Kamala Harris鈥 key economic policy proposals but are divided on former President Donald Trump鈥檚 proposal to increase tariffs on imported goods.

  • Among registered voters, 43% support Trump鈥檚 proposal to increase tariffs on imported goods, while 41% oppose the measure (16% report being 鈥渦nsure鈥).
  • Conversely, a large majority of voters (85%) support expanding tax-benefits for low- and middle-income households (including 88% of Democrats, 79% of Republicans, and 86% of independents).
  • Three-quarters of registered voters (76%) support increasing taxes on the wealthiest individuals (including 92% of Democrats and 61% of Republicans), while 70% support increasing taxes on corporations (including majorities in both parties and independents).
  • A significant majority (80%) also support Trump鈥檚 proposal to eliminate taxes on Social Security benefits.
  • Two-thirds of voters expressed support for Harris鈥 proposal to provide a tax credit for first-time homebuyers, including 84% of Democrats, 65% of independents, and 50% of Republicans.

Most voters agree that this year鈥檚 presidential election will significantly impact the economy moving forward, but Democrats and Republicans are divided on the current strength of the economy.

  • 70% of voters, including 72% of Democrats and 78% of Republicans, agree that this November鈥檚 election 鈥渨ill have a significant impact on the strength of the economy鈥 moving forward. (By comparison, only 62% of independent voters said the same).
  • 51% of registered voters described the current U.S. economy as at least 鈥渟omewhat strong,鈥 while only 32% of independents and 17% of Republicans said the same.

Politics has been a source of chronic stress for two in three Americans over the course of this election year.  

  • 20% of registered voters cited politics as a 鈥渟ignificant source of stress,鈥 while another 46% cited politics as at least a 鈥渕inor source of stress.鈥
  • Despite significant and disruptive events 鈥 such as the attempted assassination of Trump and Joe Biden鈥檚 decision to drop out of the presidential race 鈥 political stress has remained remarkably consistent over the course of 2024.
  • 16% of Americans say that they鈥檝e lost sleep over politics during the past month, while 27% say that politics has caused conflict between themselves and friends/family members.

Over the past three months, there has been a small but notable increase in voters鈥 focus on abortion and social policy issues.  While immigration remains among the top three issues on voters鈥 minds, its importance has decreased from its high point in August.

  • 28% of voters identified abortion as one of the top three issues influencing how they鈥檒l vote this November, up 7% points from 21% in August.
  • 37% of voters identified immigration as one of the top three issues influencing how they鈥檒l vote (down from 51% in August).
  • Inflation remained the most important issue on voters鈥 minds, with 50% citing it among the top three issues influencing how they鈥檒l vote.

Democrats have seen a slight bump in their overall favorability advantage over Republicans in recent months.  

  • 44% of voters expressed an at least a 鈥渟omewhat favorable鈥 view of the Democratic Party, up from 41% in August.  43% indicated that they have an 鈥渦nfavorable鈥 view of the Democratic Party.
  • 36% of voters indicated that they have at least a 鈥渟omewhat favorable鈥 view of the Republican party, while 49% indicated that they have an 鈥渦nfavorable鈥 view of the GOP.  Both numbers were unchanged from those observed in August of 2024.

With a week to go before election day, most voters say that they鈥檙e confident in the integrity of the upcoming election.  However, a significant portion of Republican voters continue to question whether the 2024 election will be conducted fairly.

  • 71% of voters say they鈥檙e confident that the 2024 election will be conducted fairly, a slight increase from numbers observed in prior surveys.
  • However, 46% of Republican voters say that they are either 鈥渘ot very鈥 or 鈥渘ot at all confident鈥 that the election will be conducted fairly.

Voters from both major parties indicated some level of belief in several false election-related claims, though belief in misinformation was notably higher among registered Republicans. 

  • 75% of Democrats and registered independents incorrectly believe that Trump has personally endorsed the Heritage Foundation鈥檚 Project 2025 policy agenda.
  • 48% of Republican voters incorrectly believe that Haitian immigrants in Springfield, Ohio, have stolen and eaten domestic animals, including household pets, from the surrounding community.
  • 75% of Republican voters incorrectly believe that the Federal Emergency Management Agency waited several days before deploying helicopters to support rescue operations in affected communities following Hurricane Helene.

The nationwide survey included a representative sample of 1,500 registered voters, fielded Oct. 22-27, 2024. Results are reported with a confidence level of 95% and a margin of error +/- 2.5%. The complete results can be found here. 

This report marks the fourth and final quarterly survey conducted over the course of this election year, which re-emphasizes election-related stress, belief in election-related misinformation and the impacts of inflation.

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